The 2024 Ulf Grenander Prize in Stochastic Theory and Modeling is awarded to IMS Fellow Tilmann Gneiting for “seminal work in environmental and stochastic modeling, with applications to computational weather forecasting, and for research in probability theory and mathematical statistics.” Gneiting is most widely known for foundational work on probabilistic forecasting. His two very highly cited 2007 papers have attracted considerable attention in the real-world weather forecasting community, including the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, with which Gneiting has conducted extensive research. “Gneiting’s foundational work on statistical post-processing for numerical weather forecasts provides the basis for current practice worldwide,” the citation noted.

Tilmann Gneiting is the scientific director of the Heidelberg Institute for Theoretical Studies (HITS) and professor of computational statistics at Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT). Previously, he held faculty positions at the University of Washington and at Heidelberg University. He received his PhD in mathematics in 1997 from Bayreuth University under the supervision of Peter Huber. His research uses probability and statistics across a range of applications: spatial and spatio-temporal models, theory and practice of forecasting in contexts of atmospheric, environmental and earth sciences; epidemiology; economics; and finance. He is a Fellow of the IMS and ASA, and received the Distinguished Achievement Medal from the ASA section on Statistics and the Environment. He served as editor-in-chief of the Annals of Applied Statistics.

The $5,000 Ulf Grenander Prize is awarded every three years. Tilmann Gneiting’s prize will be awarded at the American Mathematical Society’s 2024 Joint Mathematics Meetings in San Francisco. Read more at https://www.ams.org/news?news_id=7234.